All posts by HowardLevineSU

Starlin Castro: Good Move for Yankees?

SU has had a little time to digest and ponder the Starlin Castro trade by the Yankees.  I am not that familiar with Castro.  I know he was a highly regarded player who was elevated to the major leagues at a young age.  He had a couple of good years in Chicago and then plateaued and probably wore out his welcome.  He will only be 26 at the start of next season and appears to have some pop in his bat.  He will play 2nd base and given that he is really a shortstop, he can back up Didi Gregorius.

One of the bonuses of this trade is that Brendan Ryan gets moved out of NY.  He was brought in a couple of years ago as part of Cashman’s initiative to have a team of just utility infielders.  Just another .200 hitter who was always on the DL.  Probably good buddies with Stephen Drew.

But here is what makes SU a little uncomfortable.  Adam Warren has proven that he can pitch in NY – both out of the bullpen as well as in a starting role.  And unlike CC, Pineda, Nova, Tanaka and Eovaldi, Warren has been healthy.  This is the part that I don’t get.  The Yankees’ rotation, health-wise, is a mess.  None of these guys can make it through a full season and Tanaka has a tendon that can go at any point.  Wouldn’t you want to hold on to a pitcher that can be slotted in a variety of places including the rotation?

SU says there has to be another move coming for a starting pitcher involving Brett Gardner.  There has to be.  Otherwise, come mid-May, you will be hearing the following: “I’ll bet the Yankees wish they had held on to Adam Warren now.”  Thus, SU will hold final judgment til then.  IF there is no other trade, I don’t like this move as they will be scrambling to fix the rotation all year or scrambling to fix the bullpen.

Thoughts?  Opinions?  Anyone care to weigh in?  The floor is open.

Hot Stove Rumors

As the MLB winter meetings continue in Nashville (if you can call this weather “winter”), the trade and free agent rumors are hot and heavy:

  • Some team has offered Ben Zobrist $80 million for 4 years.  This cannot be true.  Even at $60 million that is a crazy figure for a player like Zobrist.  No doubt, he can play just about every position but he is getting up there in years.  SU predicts the Mets will reel him in.
  • The Yankees may or may not be in the hunt for Jose Fernandez on the Marlins.  Luis Severino’s name is being floated as part of the Yankees’ offer.  The Yankees are denying it all – they had better be.  They finally have a home grown stud pitcher and you will trade him?  Plus the Marlins will want Byrd or Aaron Judge as part of that.  SU says no prospects are going anywhere.
  • The Yankees are apparently hot on the trail of Tyler Flowers as a back-up catcher.  This is what it’s come down to now in the Bronx.  Zzzzzzzzz.
  • And of course, there are the non-stop rumors about 2nd basemen for the Yankees.  SU says give Refsnyder the chance to play every day in Florida.  You already have rich data from the Stephen Drew experiment to see just how unproductive a position can be and still have a team make the playoffs.  As a fan, SU appreciated the Yankees spending 2 years to conduct this research.  Hitting .150 wasn’t good enough in 2014; it was necessary to give it one more year to see if a sub-.150 average would do it.  Drew messed that up by pounding out a .190 season.  No doubt teams all over baseball are lining up to sign him to a long-term deal now.  OK, I will stop – he’s not here anymore – at least for the moment.

SU is lining up the outdoor hobbies for 2016 and will stockpile some good books to read.  The YES Network may not be getting much action next year in the SU household.

No Complaints on College Football Final Four

A Happy Hanukkah to all.  The Final Four are set for college football and SU has no complaints with these selections.  Is Ohio State better than some or all of these teams?  Probably, but they earned their way out of the games.  Michigan State had a bunch of close wins including the improbable one over Michigan but they did beat the two finalists from last year’s football championship series (Oregon and Ohio State).  SU sees Alabama winning it all although they are not the usual powerhouse on offense that we have seen in past years.  Long-time SU subscriber T. Potter passed along this interesting note over the weekend: “Texas (5-7) has more top 15 wins this season than Ohio State, Alabama, Iowa and North Carolina — combined.”  Of course, they also lost to some horrible teams along the way but certainly an oddity in this unusual season.

The Giants found a new and refreshing way to lose yesterday.  Tom Coughlin clearly has zero confidence in his defense and went for the touchdown in the 4th quarter already up by 10 points.  Surely, 13 points is a big enough lead against a Ryan Fitzpatrick-led offense, right?  But he put up nearly 400 yards passing yesterday and the Giants collapsed yet again.  Their offensive line is in shambles and at this point, they are not even close to a playoff caliber team.  I don’t think Coughlin is coaching his normal way this year given how bad the defense is.  He will likely go but GM Jerry Reese should be right behind him as he has done nothing with this roster for 3 years now.

The Pittsburgh Steelers continue to excel on offense and they will be a scary match-up in the playoffs in the AFC.  The Pats are missing all of their skill players and at some point, you just can’t continue to plug in players even as good as Brady is.  They have now lost the top seed and won’t have the championship game in Foxboro.  The Bengals will likely have that game but Dalton is no world beater.  Carolina is rolling towards a perfect season but SU is not sold on Cam Newton.  Plus he is throwing to Ted Ginn who must hold the all-time record for dropped passes.

Baseball’s winter meetings are starting in Nashville and there continue to be all kinds of rumors about Andrew Miller being traded by the Yankees.  SU does not understand this.  Their margin for error was so small last year in winning 87 games.  They were as perfect as you could be between Betances and Miller.  If you deal Miller, his replacement won’t put up those types of numbers.  Given the absence of any other moves at least to date, this will be another dismal year in the Bronx.  It appears that Hal and Cashman are aiming for 2017 when a lot of money comes off the books.  Til then, the Yankees will be “must-not see tv” for another year.  And to long-time subscriber Evan’s point from Friday, in a free market system, the fans will stay away in 2016 and the YES Network ratings will tumble even further.  SU agrees that they can charge what they want for tickets and hot dogs but the Yankees have reached a critical point now.

Brian Cashman continues to speak very bluntly and SU loved this comment from yesterday.  Asked about Ellsbury’s benching in the Wild Card game, Cashman said “He had earned not playing that game Compared to the other options we had … he just played the worst out of the crew we had, so, it’s why he didn’t play.”  Exactly.

Time to Respond to Those Comments

For those of you that are paying attention, there were some good comments in response to yesterday’s SU posting.

  • Always nice to once in a while see that some members of the SU intergalactic subscriber base actually agree with me (thank you T. Potter).  Regarding the college football playoffs, I am not sold on Clemson and would have no  problem seeing them out of the mix if they lose to UNC tomorrow.  I actually feel that Ohio State could run the table just as they did last year if given the chance.  Their roster is stacked and the truth is that they have under-achieved all year.  The post-game comments after the Michigan State loss may have finally awakened them but alas, could be too late.  I agree that Stanford should not be in the mix.  Prediction: Alabama is the last man standing.
  • I don’t think that Daniel Murphy is going to set any records with his free agent contract.  While someone will likely overpay in years and money, I think he will land in the 4 years, $48 million range.
  • While David Price can opt out after 3 years, it’s hard to see why he would want to do that unless the Red Sox go into the tank or if the fans hate him which is unlikely as Price is a good dude.  But that is just a bad contract and the rest of their staff as it stands today is not scaring anyone.  It will now be interesting to see what Scott Greienke commands.
  • Pete, I think in the big market cities, any price increase in tickets or beer/hot dogs are no longer noticeable.  At some point, it’s just a rounding on an already ridiculous price point.  I can see how in Atlanta it would be more of an issue.  But you have a new stadium on the way so your day will be coming shortly.
  • Finally, I agree with A. Grossman that the Red Sox have a lot of holes to fill to get back to the top of the division.  Even though Toronto is directly weakened with the Price signing and the Orioles are in decline, Boston is still not there on paper or in reality.

Don’t get caught napping on Brian Cashman.  He is the master of misdirection and he keeps talking fiscal responsiblity and his “process” whatever that is.  SU predicts at least 2 major moves – not necessarily big dollar investments – but via trades as he knows what he is giving Girardi is not even 90 wins worth.  This is NY: home of the $29 2 hot dogs and a beer combo.  We expect more.

Finally, SU checked out Stephan Curry the other night on the NBA League Pass (worth the investment Knick fans as there is good basketball being played in other cities).  28 points in the 3rd quarter alone and something like 21 consecutive points for his team.  What a shooter.  How youngsters are not studying his shooting form (and if you watch college basketball, you know that 95% of them are NOT) is beyond me.  True, he has Dell Curry genes to work with but his motion is simple and effortless.  And, he passes the ball and wait, get this, moves without the ball.  What a concept!  The Warriors are a lot of fun to watch.

$217 million contracts no longer shock us

It’s good to see that MLB owners are no longer giving ridiculous free agent contracts to older pitchers (not).  David Price, he of the woeful post-season won/loss record, just got a $217 million, 7-year deal from the Red Sox.  He will be 37 years old at the end of his contract.  You don’t even want to do the math.  Think of it this way: if he stays healthy all year, that is $1 million per start assuming 31 starts for the regular season.

SU was relieved to learn that the Yankees were apparently not involved in the bidding.  They are trying to get younger and after the next couple of seasons, will have a lot of money coming off the books.  As I have said many times, it’s time to field a more interesting team and for the fan base, that means getting younger.  Brian Cashman seems to be on the right path now.  Until he’s not.

SU reaction to the Kobe Bryant retirement announcement: great scorer; me-first player; never afraid to take the final shot (and miss it); got his rings; and is a possible rapist.  I don’t feel he will receive the type of affection that a Derek Jeter received or what a Big Papi will get in 2016.  I admire his competitiveness but his selfishness outweighs that.  Clearly sees his skills are eroding.  Note to Kobe: please don’t come back next year with the Knicks.

Should Johnny Manziel be starting for the Browns this week?  SU has been surprised by how many people feel he should be (but not his coach).  SU asks at what point do you punish a player and make it stick?  Why is it necessary to always roll over?  SU said from the beginning pre-draft that he was a Ryan Lief type of QB.  Buyer beware.  Not a good guy.  But given his persona, Cleveland will not be his final stop in the NFL.  There just aren’t enough good quarterbacks out there and some owner/GM will always be willing to take a flyer on him.

Giants Refuse to Take the Easy Road

The Giants continue to make life difficult for themselves and their fans this year.  In addition to blowing several games earlier in the year due to poor clock management and some questionable play calls, they had a chance yesterday to grab control of the NFC East.  SU had its doubts as the Giants have played poorly coming out of the bye week for about the last 400 hundred years.  They were truly unwatchable yesterday until late in the 4th quarter.  Then, when just needing to make a stop on 3rd down, of course they couldn’t and you end up with a well-earned loss.  Truth be told, they are not a good team but Eli is having a great season running a hurry-up style offense where he can change plays at the line of scrimmage – something SU has been pushing for several years.  Kevin Gilbride held him down for a number of years but he has thrived this season despite having little running game and a revolving door in the offensive line.  They still have a shot at the division as 8 wins may very well be enough.

This week’s Jets-Giants match-up is now a huge game for both teams who are on the bubble for the playoffs.  We will unlikely see any big hugs at Met Life Stadium come this Sunday.  Is it just me or does it seem wrong that Carmelo Anthony had Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh over for  Thanksgiving dinner when he would be facing them in a game the next night?  Did Bernard King have Larry Bird over for dinner?  Was Bill Russell welcome at Willis Reed’s house?  Is it just the fans who care nowadays about winning and rivalries?  SU believes that professional athletes all belong to the same fraternity in this era and there is too much Big Papi-like hugging going on.  The exception is the NFL where the level of spearing and head-hunting is scary.

The Patriots finally went down to defeat as Brady continues to lose all of his offensive weapons.  SU does not believe they will come out of the AFC for the Super Bowl as you have to wonder who will still be standing on that roster come January.  While it’s not obvious who might beat them in Foxboro (long-time SU subscriber J. Gross is putting his money on the Pittsburgh Steelers who are great on offense but give up a lot of big plays on defense), you have to think even Tom Brady needs a few of his receivers to still be healthy to get to the Super Bowl.

On the college front, all of a sudden, there is a clear path to a final 4 of Alabama, Clemson, Michigan State/Iowa and Oklahoma.  You would have to think that Ohio State belongs in that group but they will likely pay the price of just playing a bad game last week in the rain at home.  Going to the 4-game playoff system is a major improvement and college football continues to be a lot of fun to watch – especially late in games where no lead is safe.  Of course, if North Carolina beats Clemson or if Alabama is upset by Florida, chaos will reign.

A Little More Cano Bashing for a Tuesday

SU was reading some additional articles about Robinson Cano and his season in Seattle.  Check out these comments from recently fired Seattle first base coach Andy Van Slyke:

“Robinson Cano was the single worst third-place, everyday player I’ve ever seen… for the first half of a Major League Baseball season,” the former Mariners’ first-base coach said in a radio interview. “He couldn’t drive home Miss Daisy if he tried. Couldn’t do it. He couldn’t get a hit when it mattered. He played the worst defense I’ve ever seen at second. I mean, I’m talking about the worst defensive second baseman ever, I’ve ever seen in 20 years in the big leagues.”

Followers of baseball know that fired coaches and managers usually don’t throw players under the bus like this as they are angling to be hired for another job in the future and you start to limit possible destinations if one of these players is on the roster of that potential new team.  There are stories floating around today about a possible Ellsbury for Cano trade but for the Yankees, the math doesn’t work given the 10-year Cano deal which has 8 years remaining.  You wonder if some GM will bail out Seattle on his contract.  You also wonder how Cano’s numbers will continue to deteriorate playing in a big stadium in cool, damp weather for much of the year.  The Yankees had offered 7 years and $175 million which was more than fair and probably still too long a contract.  Note to Jay-Zee: it’s not always about the money and how much is enough?

The Yankees need to not engage here.  Plus there are always the LA Dodgers who are more than happy to pick up a ridiculous contract.

Report: Cano Unhappy in Seattle and Wants to Return to NY

I know: this is shocking news!  Shocking, I say.  Who would ever have expected this to happen after Cano left for the big money and joined a losing team?

http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2015/11/23/robinson-cano-mariners-yankees/

The Yankees apparently feel they need an upgrade at 2nd base.  SU predicted 2 years ago that he would be back with the Yankees in a few years.  If Seattle agrees to pay half his salary for the remainder of the contract, does Cashman bite on this?

Porzingis is the Man

Tell the truth.  On draft night, did anyone really feel like Porzingis would turn into a franchise, stud player?  He has made the Knicks relevant again.  SU didn’t see the game Saturday night but in addition to the 7 blocked shots, did you catch the running hook shot?  Let’s compare this to most of the big men coming out of college today who have no jump shot and at most some type of jump hook.  After all their years of playing, all they can do is dunk and throw up some type of jump hook.  Porzingis can shoot the three, has a mid-range jumper and can put the ball on the floor.  And he plays defense.

Of course, now you need him to stay healthy and you need Derek Fisher to keep him on the floor in the 4th quarter.  Carmelo Anthony is being the good teammate so far and is saying all the right things.  But SU predicts the day is coming when he will not be so happy allowing Porzingis to have the spotlight at MSG.  Luckily, the team cleared out some of the knuckleheads like JR Smith who would only have made that situation worse.  This roster has mostly good guys who will put team first over ego.  SU is tuning in again to the Knicks just to see Porzingis.  Build around him and keep going younger.

SU loved the Ohio State meltdown by some key players after their loss to Michigan State.  Always good to see how players and coaches deal with losing.  SU will be interested to see how Urban Meyer deals with his star running back, Elliott, who openly questioned the play calling after the game.  Unfortunately for Meyer, he was right – the play calling was ultra-conservative and Ohio State was basically playing not to lose against an under-manned Michigan State team in bad weather conditions.  Michigan State is not good but they now have a path to the final 4 playoff.

SU prediction: Urban Meyer is going to be heavily wooed by the NFL in the off-season to take one of several open head coaching slots.  You wonder how much he will be tempted if this episode leaves a bad taste in his mouth?  I say he goes.

No doubt, few of you watched Novak Djokovic complete one of the most dominant seasons ever in men’s tennis history by winning the ATP Championship season ending event.  Consider these stats:

  • record of 82 – 6 for the season
  • reached the finals of every tournament he played since early January
  • won 3 majors and lost in the finals of the French
  • won 11 tournaments in total
  • $20 million in prize money
  • something like 33 – 5 vs. the top 10 players

He gets SU’s vote for SI Athlete of the Year and if they give it to Serena, that is just wrong.

Finally, lots of Brett Gardner trade rumors with the latest being Gardner to the Cubs for Starling Castro to play 2nd base.  Say what?  Give Refsnyder a chance or platoon him with Ackley and save some money.  If you are going to move Gardner, at least get a starting pitcher out of it.  Hopefully, this is just a New York Post inspired rumor with no legs.

It’s Time for College Hoops

SU caught a little college hoops action last night as Michigan opened its season against Elon College on ESPN3 (just watching ESPN3 was a major development for SU).  John Beilein’s teams always play a team first style with lots of passing and cutting – must see tv after watching too many NBA games.  But what caught my attention was the 30-second shot clock for the men’s game being introduced this year.  What a positive development!  More possessions and no more walking the ball up the court (SU pet peeve).  Push the ball and run your offense.  Why limit yourself to fewer seconds to try and score?

No doubt the 30-second clock will make it harder for lesser teams to slow the game down try and to limit possessions.  We have known for a long time that 35 seconds was way too long for mens’ teams.  Long overdue.

While the Giants came up short against the Pats on Sunday, SU was impressed how Tom Coughlin gets his teams to compete despite all the injuries.  Over the years, he has never used injuries as an excuse.  It’s always “next man up” with him.  If not for his safety’s inability to pretty much fair catch a duck thrown by Brady in the last 2 minutes, the Giants win that game.  Edelman’s injury will be huge for New England coming on top of the Lewis injury last week.  They are still the best team out there but everyone else just got a lot closer.  The Giants have a million holes but Eli is having his best year and no one will want to play them should they make the playoffs.  They have lost some killer games this year but appear to be very resilient.

The college football season is coming down the home stretch and the one thing we know is that there is no sure fire, dominant team this year.  It should be a fun playoff and bowl season with any number of teams in the mix.  Right now, it would be hard to bet against Alabama but a lot of football to be played.

Finally, for those Tennis Channel viewers out there (we are having a meeting in a phone booth next week), check out the ATP Men’s end of year tournament in London this week.  Some great match-ups.  SU says if Djokovic wins out, he should be in the conversation for SI Athlete of the Year.  His record against the top 10 players this year is something like 27-4, 3 grand slam titles and lost in the finals of the French.  He is deserving.