I know, I know: the season has already started. How can these predictions now be valid? Well, I didn’t have the Mets going undefeated so I think I am ok.
Let’s start with the National League. SU can barely find room on the Mets’ bandwagon. Way too crowded and everyone is picking them to win the NL East. SU is not so sure. Some teams play better under the radar and have a harder time coping with expectations. On paper, the young pitchers have more experience under their belts and the young hitters should be that much better. But….sometimes young players take a step back before they are ready to make the big step forward. SU believes the Nationals will be a worthy adversary in the East but of course, having Stephen Drew on the roster will ultimately bring them down. He is a difference maker. The Mets will win the East but it will go into September and be closer than you think.
Lots of love out there for the Cubs to take the next step and win it all. SU will agree on that one but the SF Giants win their world championships in the even years and last time I checked, it’s 2016. Giants win the West, Cubs in the Central and the Nationals and Cardinals take the wild cards.
In the American League, the AL East is a toss-up. Many predict the Toronto Blue Jays will win the division and the World Series this year. SU disagrees. The Jose Bautista contract will become a bigger and bigger distraction as the season unfolds and if any of their starters goes down, they are just a good hitting team with limited pitching. They may win the East but they won’t make it to the World Series. Btw, former Yankee phenom Jesus Montero is now in their farm system. How the mighty have fallen.
The Yankees will contend but YES ratings will be way down along with attendance. This roster is a snoozefest. All 5 starters will find their way to the DL during the course of the year. Texeiria is in his walk year (and he will walk with Greg Bird ready to assume 1st base next season) and he should be motivated for that reason. Expect harder outs into the shift this year as opposed to softer outs in the past. Castro will be a guy to watch along with Hicks in the outfield. He is going to take at bats away from both Ellsbury and Gardner. The Yankees will make one of the Wild Cards. The Royals are still in good shape but getting to the World Series 3 years in a row is very hard. Texas wins the West and the Royals and Yankees are the Wild Cards. Watch out for Detroit to make a comeback this year and get to the World Series where they lose to the Giants in 6 games.
As always, SU is interested in what the subscriber base is thinking. Feel free to weigh in.
Finally, great NCAA championship game last night with such a high quality last 10 minutes. Look for a lot of college coaches incorporating Villanova’s last second full court play into their playbook next season. That was executed perfectly. It wasn’t a great tourney and a lousy Final Four but exciting finale.