SU knows we are close to the beginning of baseball season when long-time subscriber, A. Grossman, starts emailing with his Yankee concerns.  Just a snippet from this week’s communication:

“It appears that the post George style for the Yankees in spending their money (wisely) is to remain competitive until a week or two before the trading deadline and then become either big buyers or big sellers. Last season we did the right thing though who knew the Yanks and Sanchez in particular were going to make things quite interesting until we finally faded near the end. I still can’t believe that the Cubs wouldn’t aggressively go after Chapman. Anyway, George would have done both… get some high profile players before the season and do more of the same near the deadline. I really haven’t seen much success since he can only be seen out in Monument Park. How did Boston beat us to signing a couple of great all ready proven pitchers? Are they connected with the New England Patriots?”

SU  says it’s fair to wonder if Hal Steinbrenner is as committed to “making the Yankees great (again)” based on some of his recent moves as his father was.  Clearly, he wants to get the payroll down and grow the roster with prospects and SU is fully behind this at the cost of being mediocre for a couple of years.  Once they rid the roster of Chase Headley and Chris Carter (it’s not too soon to start not liking this latest move – beat the rush), and move Jacoby Ellsbury for anyone, we will see real progress.

But the truly interesting news this week out of Yankeeland were Hal’s comments on Alex Rodriguez and his expanded role for the team.  Andrew Marchand of espn.com picked up on this and surmised that perhaps A-Rod might be the Yankees’ future manager.  SU thinks this would be a great move.  He is a student of the game and loves talking baseball with anyone who will listen, he works well with the youngsters and has taken many of them under his wing over the years and he knows how to deal with the media.  In-game strategy?  OK, you get some bench coach to help with that and let’s face it, the in-game strategy is over-rated in today’s power game.  The real value is being a good people manager and dealing with the egos.  Plus, think how muscular the Yankee players will be?  Just another benefit.  And it’s not like he needs the money and what’s he going to do if you fire him?

SU is a Joe Girardi fan and feels he is an excellent manager.  But he has been here since 2008 and like everything else, sometimes you need a change.  Don Mattingly is the other likely candidate but he is employed in Miami.  Willie Randolph would be another possibility but it’s not as compelling a story as A-Rod.  Hal has real affection for A-Rod.  This would be too good to pass up.  I don’t know if Brian Cashman would sign up for this but I suspect he doesn’t have the power anymore on these types of decisions.

Tyler Austin has a broken foot – out 6 weeks which is basically spring training.  Tough break literally for the youngster as he will be competing for 1st base and right field.  SU is hoping someone, anyone who plays 3rd base has an unreal spring training making Headley expendable.   It’s not too early to get on Chase Headley and his drive for 10 homeruns which will take the usual 500 at bats.

A-Rod for Yankee manager?  Who’s with me?

There is always a lull between the Super Bowl and the start of March Madness.  Ideally, the NBA would get us through but we are disappointed year after year – especially here in New York.  But SU is here to toss out a few tidbits to help you stay engaged:

• While the Knicks seem like a circus now following the Charles Oakley incident, there were a few promising signs yesterday in the win over the Spurs.  First, Carmelo Anthony’s shooting arm is in good shape as evidenced by the number of shots he threw up in the 2nd half.  It was staggering to the extent that others are frozen out of the offense.  He had a good day but obviously this is easily defended.  SU was pleased by the performance of Willy Hernangomez – Hubie Brown loves this guy.  He seems to have good chemistry with Courtney Lee and moves without the ball.  Of course, neither Derrick Rose or Melo will throw it to him but it’s a start.
• Interesting how James Dolan had something like 8 former Knicks at yesterday’s game including Latrell Sprewell.  Too funny.  Charles Oakley is holding a press conference later this week.  I am sure that will go well.
• SU went to another Westchester Knicks game this past Friday night with long-time subscriber S. Caley.  There is no truth to the rumor that Charles Oakley’s son was barred admission to the County Center.  As mentioned before, this is great value – fun to see almost NBA talent from just a few feet away.  And they play hard.  What a concept.
• People need to move on from Kevin Durant going to Golden State.  Russell Westbrook is a great, athletic talent but you can see how playing 2nd fiddle to him gets old.
• UConn women going for win #100 in a row tonight vs. South Carolina.  Point spread is something like 13 which seems crazy.  SU anticipates a close game here – very physical.
• SU read that Noah Syndergaard added 15 pounds of muscle this off season and is hoping to throw even harder.  I am not a fan of bulking up like this – only bad things happen.  Time will tell but this needs to be watched.
• Finally, Northwestern with a big road win over Wisconsin.  They need to break the streak and make the NCAAs this year.  Doug Collins’ son doing a great job as coach.  Michigan beat Indiana for the 2nd time in two weeks and Indy coach Tom Crean is approaching meltdown mode.  He is just ahead of Tom Izzo in my book for most annoying coaches.  Always struggles to give credit where credit is due.  Michigan trying to be inside the bubble instead of out.

Buster Olney of espn.com weighs in on the Yankees’ signing of Chris Carter:

“The first conversations that the New York Yankees had about Chris Carter took place in the fall, as the Milwaukee Brewers sorted through their options with a slugger who was tied for the National League lead with 41 homers in 2016. The two sides didn’t work out a deal, the Brewers released Carter, and the Yankees signed Matt Holliday, presumably to take a lot of plate appearances at designated hitter.

Carter remained unsigned into December, into January, the price tag seemingly dropping. Carter’s agent, Dave Stewart, mentioned in a radio interview the possibility that his client would have to think about signing in Japan. This was something that Carter had no interest in: He wanted to play in the major leagues in 2017, and was resigned to the reality that he would get far less than he expected after a season in which he posted an .821 OPS.

Carter’s context had changed, and so had that of the Yankees. Late in the 2015 season, it appeared that Greg Bird might be the team’s first baseman of the future, but he missed all of the 2016 with a shoulder injury. When he returned to action in the Arizona Fall League, Bird really struggled, batting .215 with one homer and 17 strikeouts in 65 at-bats. As the Cleveland Indians learned with Michael Brantley, no injury bears so much uncertainty for a position player — for a hitter — as a shoulder problem. For the Yankees, Bird is something of a mystery with spring training looming. Tyler Austin is a candidate to play first base after a nice showing late last season, but he’s young, he has options, and he can be sent back to the minors.”

SU gets the logic but surely there were better options.  Apparently, they are very nervous about Greg Bird and how he will respond from shoulder surgery.  But it will be unbearable watching Carter strike out 200 times against ridiculous shifts.  I would much rather see Judge and Tyler Austin get those at bats, and I have faith in Bird coming around.  We were down to Ellsbury and Headley in the unwatchable category.  Wrong move, wrong time.

Tanaka has an out clause this year if he wants to forego $23 million for the next 3 years.  Given his elbow situation, why would any team take that chance?  SU says this will be a non-issue and he will stay a Yankee through 2020.

Did you see what Porzingis had to say the other day?  This from a quiet 2nd year player who is not looking to make waves.  But if you watched any of the Laker game the other night, you saw how no-one was helping on defense and how the seas parted every time a Laker drove down the lane past Derrick Rose (who may be the worst defender in the NBA at this point in his career).  The quote from KP:

“It’s kind of everybody for (themselves) a lot of times. Both ends of the floor.”

His game is suffering and he is regressing.  For Phil Jackson, the issue isn’t making a good deal for Carmelo.  It’s just moving him off the roster and starting over.  That should be the priority at this point.  Kevin Love is younger and he just scored 39 points the other night.  Not happening.

Pitchers and catchers still haven’t reported as of yet but it’s not too early to be irritated by the Yankees for 2017.  Chris Carter?  He of 41 home runs and 206 strikeouts last year to go with his lifetime .216 batting average.  What????!!!!

SU says that Andruw Jones obviously could not be lured out of retirement so Cashman felt Carter would be the next best thing.  They already have Aaron Judge who may put up these types of numbers.  I suppose Carter is insurance at 1st base in case Greg Bird doesn’t regain his form from 2015.

But let’s face it.  This is not inspiring.  SU would rather have Carmelo Anthony at first base.  At least he would be off the Knicks’ roster.

Thoughts?

This was an odd Super Bowl.  Basically, another boring, blowout type game for the first 2 and a half quarters, and then it turned into a college football game.  In the NFL, no one comes back from being down 21-0 and then 28 – 3 in the 3rd quarter.  It just doesn’t happen much less in a playoff game or Super Bowl.  Sure, there was that wild Buffalo comeback against the Houston Oilers in the playoffs but those are few and far between.  We have become used to these types of games at the college level where the offenses run no huddle and the clock stops on 1st downs.

New England is not even a quick strike team.  Most of their drives took up some clock.  SU believes it was really just a case that Atlanta’s defense was on the field for so many plays, so many passing plays, and they wore down in the 4th quarter.  There was one turnover by Ryan on the sack and they could have played the clock better with some runs.  But SU believes they were gassed in the 4th quarter.  The killer was giving up 2 2-point conversions – that never happens.  It’s like recovering 2 onside kicks.

SU also believes that the Falcons will miss the playoffs next season.  In the NFL, there is the carryover effect when you come up just short or implode like yesterday.  The experts will say that they’ll be back and will play in this game again.  Could be – but not next season.  One step forward, 2 steps back.

Many thanks to the NFL faithful for their Super Bowl predictions.  In case you weren’t following along, here they were:

• S. Goldman: 31 – 23 Pats
• Trigs: 31 – 23 Pats
• A. Grossman: 35-32 Falcons
• P. Bok: 27 – 23 Pats with the Falcons losing in heart-breaking fashion (I think Pete may have come closest to predicting just how this would play out and he is a Falcons fan)
• Mark N: 35 – 31 Falcons
• Jeff: 31-17 Pats (but not happy about it as he is a Jets fan)
• Bob D: 35-21 Falcons
• Steve G: 34-21 Pats (as a big-time, long-time Pats fan)

Some pretty close picks there by highly educated SU subscribers, and SU applauds everyone for weighing in and putting their reputations on the line!

The time has come for SU’s fearless Super Bowl predictions.  I have proudly not read or watched anything related to the upcoming game.  There is just too much hype and tell the truth: what could be more fun than reading about the potential 4-team trades for Carmelo Anthony?

Here are the SU keys to the game:

• Neutral field: that hurts Atlanta which is exceptional at home and much less so on the road.  While Houston is technically “neutral”, it’s still not Atlanta.
• Indoor like conditions: that helps the Falcons which SU says play better not out in the elements.  A guy like Tom Brady adapts to any conditions and weather as long as the ball pressure also adapts (ha ha).
• Julio Jones: SU had him on our fantasy team this year.  He has battled a foot injury all year and his performance was up and down.  Belichick is famous for taking away a team’s best player but my sense is that the Falcons have scored plenty of points in games when Jones did nothing.  Matt Ryan has enough weapons to get it done.
• I think both teams have great offenses and will move up and down the field fairly easily.  The Pats have a better defense which might lead to more field goals for Atlanta while the Patriots score touchdowns.

We have run the various computer scenarios and have the Falcons winning 37 – 31 in a competitive game throughout.  Given that both teams can score quickly, you get the feeling that we won’t have a blowout this year and that would be good given how boring most of the playoff games have been.

Feel free to post your predictions for scores and any other notable events that may happen, e.g., Tom Brady not shaking Roger Goodell’s hand?  As always, SU will give kudos and props to whoever comes closest to the final score and surely you want to be recognized by the hundreds of thousands of SU intergalactic subscribers (this excludes the 3-5 million people who voted illegally which means the total is actually much higher).

Both Roger Federer and Tiger Woods were out of action for months.  Federer came back for the Australian Open and played a couple of matches to tune up right before then.  He proceeds to go out and dominate the field including an epic win over Rafa Nadal in the finals.  The win over Nadal was especially gratifying to Federer as no one will catch him now for the career Grand Slam record.

Tiger Woods returned to play Torrey Pines, a course he knows well and has won at many times, and he missed the cut.  SU just thought the contrast was interesting.  It’s true that Tiger was coming back from a year and a half absence but you can also say that Federer who will turn 36 this year is at a much older age tennis-wise than is Woods in golf.  Fed also beat a number of top 10 players along the way.  It was no cheapie.  Thoughts?

SU caught the 4th quarter and the 4 overtimes of the Knick game yesterday.  First of all, Mike Crispino is just not a good announcer at MSG.  These are the types of games where announcers have so much fun but he is no Mike Breen.  Porzingis fouled out yet again and with Derrick Rose injured (which Crispino just didn’t mention at all), Melo felt compelled to take every shot down the stretch and in OT.  He definitely made his share of them but SU says that basketball is a team game and there are 4 other players out there who might be open while you are double teamed going 1 on 1.  This is not to take away from Melo’s shot making – he single-handedly kept them in the game.  But it’s on Hornacek to design plays to get others involved for open looks.  He seems to be a Mike Woodson disciple and is content, like other NBA coaches, to take the easy way out and allow your top player to go 1 on 1 over and over and over again.  At this point, I have no emotional connection to the team.

SU caught the UConn women in action up in Hartford with long-time subscriber M. Levine on Saturday.  While they won by 50 or so, what’s most interesting to see is how they push the ball up the court on every possession whether the opponent scored or not.  They never walk the ball up the court.  On defense, the intensity is there from start to finish.  There is no looking to the bench on calling offensive plays and the ball moves side to side on every possession.  They missed a lot of shots for them but they were getting good looks by pushing the ball and making hard cuts.  SU is still baffled why other teams – both men’s and women’s teams – don’t play this way either at the college level or in the pros.  Kansas and Kentucky do as we saw on Saturday but most do not.

Super Bowl prediction coming tomorrow.  Be sure to weigh in with your picks during the week to show off your particular skills in calling games of this magnitude.

Check out the article below from espn.com:

http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/18553325/new-york-knicks-pitch-carmelo-anthony-kevin-love-rebuffed-cleveland-cavaliers

SU had proposed this deal back in the winter.  It’s a natural and would allow LeBron to play with yet another friend.  Clearly, the Cavs are only interested in dealing with the Knicks when they can totally take advantage of them (see the trade for Shumpert and JR Smith).

But SU says the Knicks are on the right track.  Next stop: LA Clippers and Blake Griffin.  You need to trade your superstar for another team’s superstar.  The Hawks’ Millsap is also supposedly on the block although unlikely Carmelo wants to go to Atlanta.

Time to think outside of the box!

SU says we are due for a competitive Super Bowl after a lackluster few weeks of playoff football.  Sure, Packers – Dallas was an instant classic but that was pretty much it.  I must say that home field was certainly important this post-season and being the home team on Conference Championship Sunday was worth a lot per usual.  SU’s predictions went down in flames but hey, nothing ventured nothing gained.  Actually, would my original Super Bowl prediction of winner of the Packers/Giants game vs. the Steelers qualify as an “alternative fact?”

You have to admire the Pats who win easily without Gronk and don’t miss a beat offensively.  They are truly a plug and play team – just slide in the next guy.  Tom Brady is clearly a superstar and possibly GOAT at his position but the sustained track record of this team is well beyond anyone else.  No doubt Brady is hoping to win the Super Bowl and accept the trophy from Commissioner Roger Goodell.  Now that would be must see TV.  SU’s research department is already running various scenarios but I am feeling an over/under of 79 points.  Let’s hope an Alabama – Clemson game breaks out in 2 weeks.

Jeremy Lin out another 3 – 5 weeks as he re-aggravated his hamstring in rehab.  Unreal.  Dude will end up missing almost the entire season.  This has put a major damper on SU’s NBA viewing.  I did catch the end of the San Antonio – Cleveland game where the Spurs won in OT.  The Spurs are like the Patriots: well coached; well run and they slide in new players into the system every year.  And so many assists!  SU kept looking for the jab step, isolation offensive sets but I guess Coach Popovich has not read the Mike Woodson Offensive Playbook (er pamphlet).

The Carmelo – Phil Jackson soap opera plays on and on as the Knicks continue to find ways to lose in the last minute.  SU is convinced that Derrick Rose has a maximum number of passes per game built into his contract (no more than 9) which means at the end of the game, there is just no way he is passing on those drives.  He will get his contract for next season (mission accomplished this year) but it won’t be in NY.

Tennis fans, check out the men’s draw at the Australian Open.  Roger Federer has a path to the finals as does Rafa Nadal.  Now that would be a throwback.  Given Fed’s record against Nadal, no doubt he is hoping for a loss on that side of the draw.  Men’s tennis shaping up to have a great year.  Still plenty of room on Tennis Channel for you to join me.

So, Ivan Rodriguez has made the Hall of Fame.  While he never failed a PED test, there were always rumors and his body size shrank about 30% late in his career.  He was clearly deserving based on the stats, as I-Rod was considered the best at his position for a number of years.

It’s clear that the voters are going to now drop their resistance to suspected PED users like Bonds, Sosa, and Clemens.  Although he’s not mentioned very often, Mark McGwire should also be included in the conversation.  All of these players were at the top of the game for many years and have the stats to back it up.  And if that’s the case, then SU says there is no reason to not allow A-Rod in as well.  They all used to varying degrees and it’s impossible to start playing some fine line of who did, who didn’t and who maybe did.  We won’t know for a few years for A-Rod but SU believes once the others get the votes, it will be difficult to keep him out despite the suspension and all the rest.

Nice Knicks win last night.  SU turned it on in the 2nd half and while there was one 3rd quarter stretch where Melo shot every time, it was great to see a balanced attack.  The Knicks are now 5-0 when Noah doesn’t play.  Rose had a great offensive game but it’s becoming very clear that he has no interest in passing.  Some of his passes on his drives are literally to no-one on the perimeter.  But he is a great finisher around the basket.  I know, it’s only one game but if KP moves to the 5-position and maybe, just maybe, Carmelo starts to pass a little more, this team can score a lot of points and be a tough out come playoff time in a weak Eastern Conference.

SU fave, Novak Djokovic, was ousted last night in the 2nd round of the Australian Open in 5 sets to a journeyman player.  Since winning last year’s French Open, he has not been the same player.  As he nears 3o, Djokovic is much more philosophical and you can see he has lost the edge.  SU believes that for the top, top players, winning and losing against the best comes down to a few points and being bold on those few points.  Federer lost that about 5 years ago and while his game looks the same, he tends to lose matches because he has lost the nerve.  SU would now put Djokovic in that category – he’s just not going for shots at those times anymore and is playing for his opponent to miss.  This is a great time for Andy Murray to dominate but SU says keep an eye on Milos Raonic who I think is ready to take the next step.  I am still hopeful Djokovic will find his way back but I am not feeling it at the moment.