OK, looks like this deal is done pending Stanton’s physical. Yankees only had to give up Castro and a couple of lower level prospects. They get a $31 million break on the rest of the $295 million contract. Great comments from the SU intergalactic subscriber base – both pro and con. SU likes to see the analytics making their way into the comments to support your arguments.
On the face of it, this is similar to signing a big time free agent. You give up Castro but he is easily replaced by Gleybar Torres who now has a position going into spring training. SU asks this question: “If you had this roster with Stanton playing Houston this past October, do you win that series?” SU says no – you still lose. You just have a different guy swinging and missing at low and outside sliders and curve balls in the DH spot. Your pitching is still not good enough and you are still not able to manufacture runs.
With Stanton, you win 95 – 100 regular season games in 2018 and feast on the bad teams’ pitching. But Cleveland and Houston still have the horses in their rotation and the Yankees still do not. And now you do not have the payroll to acquire that talent as Hal is intent on getting below $200 million next season. You will instead rely on the young arms in Chance Adams and Sheffield. And SU is fine with that. But Stanton does not win you extra games in the post-season in 2018.
SU agrees with B. Rosano’s comment that this feels like the 2004 A-Rod signing. Do you remember that team? Gary Sheffield, A-Rod, Jeter, Posada – they scored a ton or runs. Same in 2005. But come playoff time, you had John Lieber, a scotch-taped Kevin Brown and then in 2005 an aging and pissed off Randy Johnson starting and losing games. For SU, this feels very similar. They already had plenty of offense. But Justin Verlander and Corey Kluber are still going to be there in October and the Yankees will still be swinging and missing.