Michigan fans are licking their wounds this morning after a thorough beatdown by the Buckeyes yesterday.  Let’s get right to it:

• Jim Harbaugh’s offensive play calling continues to baffle SU.  While just about every other team in the country plays a fairly wide open style in this era, he continues to pound the ball on the ground with the strategy of wearing down the opponent in the 4th quarter.  This approach has worked in the NFL – about 25 years ago.  But given all of the rule changes, most teams have opened up the passing game and looked to throw down the field.
• Clearly, the country’s best defense was overrated as they were torched against a diversified Ohio State attack.  Zero pass rush and crossing pass after crossing pass killed them.  SU was surprised that Michigan’s coaches were not prepared for that as other teams have used it effectively all year against the Wolverines.
• The Big Ten is mediocre this year.  Teams like Wisconsin, Michigan State and Penn State had down years and even Ohio State struggled most of the season defensively.  Now, only Northwestern stands in their way and while upsets are always possible, you have to wonder if the Wildcats can put 4 quarters together against a high powered attack like Ohio State’s.
• Love him or hate him, Urban Meyer is a great college football coach.  SU is no fan but you have to give him his due.  It sure looks like he will walk away for health reasons (plus ongoing controversy) and SU has said for a long time that he will go to the NFL.  Perhaps he needs a year off.  But he has always played a wide open offense and it makes a huge difference.  Michigan has some playmakers at wide receiver and the offensive line was better as the season unfolded.  Hopefully, Harbaugh will get an offensive coordinator for next season and allow him to put in a more creative scheme.
• Bottom line: if the goal for a successful season is to beat Ohio State, then you need to make changes.  Harbaugh is a great recruiter and the team was fun to watch this year.  SU does not live and die with football – or any sport or team for that matter.  There are too many other more important things in life as we all know.  But the best coaches recognize their shortcomings and make the adjustments.  It will be interesting to see if Harbaugh can do that.  I also don’t think he is an attractive alternative for the NFL now given his conservative approach offensively.  We are not talking Andy Reid here.  But he can certainly thrive at the college level with a bit of a tweak for next season.

So, Michigan fans, how are you feeling this morning?

OK, the reviews and comments are in: mostly positive.  Paxton sounds like a feisty competitor, wants to be in NY, he’s a lefty and is in his prime.  The only downside – and this may be a big downside – is that he rarely makes every start and has had pretty much every possible injury you can have over the years.  Now, the good news is that his arm should have less wear and tear as he is never making 30+ starts a year.  But the Yankees will have to be a little wary of this going forward.

While Sheffield may turn out to be the real deal, SU does not have the attachment to this guy as of yet and as we all know, the Yankee prospects are always over-hyped.

So, what happens next?  SU says the key is what they do with Aaron Hicks.  If Cashman re-signs him, then they won’t sign either Harper or Machado.  If Hicks leaves, then SU predicts the Yankees will be all in for Bryce Harper.  I don’t see any Machado scenario unless they are going to trade Andujar which would be stupid.  Give him a chance to work on his fielding or make him a first baseman.  And please: all the talk of a partial season shortstop solution – there are a million guys out there that can fill that void.  Didi is the man – he will be fine and they should not give up on him.  Plus he’s one of your few left-handed hitters.

Did you see last night’s Chiefs – Rams game?  I must admit that while I love the offense, at some point it’s a little ridiculous.  Can it really be that easy?  Only a handful of teams fire on all cylinders like that it’s surprising how the defenses are unable to cover receivers without being penalized.  Last night may also be a function of playing in a warm weather city.  That may not happen in January when it’s windy and cold.

OK, Cashman has made his first trade getting Paxton from the Mariners for some prospects including Justus Sheffield who is their top pitching prospect and possibly their top overall guy.  SU does not know much about Paxton but he has a lot of strikeouts and is 30 years old.  Definitely someone who will be slotted in high in the rotation.  It would have been fun to see what happened with Sheffield but the team is built to win now and SU has confidence in Cashman’s judgment (Sonny Gray excluded).

They need to go for it in 2019.  SU says good first move.  Thoughts?

SU is back from a very fun weekend with long-time subscriber, B. Levine, up at Mohegan Sun to check out the Michigan hoops team for an early season tournament.  I am telling you college sports is the best.  Not only were we 3rd row mid-court for the championship game but the Michigan players were staying next door to our room in the hotel.  Recommendation from SU: college basketball gives you the chance to really see things up close and personal – almost like high school.  You can hear the coaches yell, players talk on defense and the effort is there on every possession.

John Beilein is such a great ambassador for Michigan and goes about his business without the fanfare of Tom Izzo (the troll) and the “one and dones” at Duke and Kentucky.  His teams play the right way.  SU is all in on college hoops this year.

SU is also looking ahead to the Michigan- Ohio State game this weekend where the Wolverines are actually favored in Columbus.  They are the better team but Ohio State has under-performed all year despite having a superior roster of players.  You wonder if they have not played their best game as of yet.  SU actually believes that if Ohio State ran the table and won the Big Ten Championship game, they would not get into the final 4 BCS championship with the bad loss to Purdue and the embarrassing performance vs. Maryland this weekend.

Brian Cashman is putting out all kinds of misdirection with the free agents.  SU is getting more nervous that they may actually sign either Machado or Harper thereby clogging up the roster with over-priced hitters for the next 10 years and allowing guys like Sanchez and Didi to walk.  Surely cooler heads will prevail and they will focus on pitching through the trade market but just not sure.  I think if they re-sign Hicks, then no Harper but if they let Hicks go, then they will be all in on signing Harper.  Rumors also have the Mets in the market for Machado which is interesting.  As always, baseball has the best off-season assuming the owners are looking to spend.

Long-time subscriber, T. Potter, raised this interesting question to SU: “If Georgia beats Alabama in the SEC Championship game (assuming both teams win out the rest of their games), Notre Dame wins out, Clemson wins out, and Michigan beats Ohio State and wins the Big Ten Championship game, does Alabama still get into the Final Four?”

Alabama has been the consensus #1 team from day one pretty much all year.  Georgia has one loss (by 20 to LSU on the road) and Michigan has one loss to Notre Dame on opening day on the road by a touchdown.  The Final Four would likely be Notre Dame, Georgia, Clemson and either Michigan or Alabama.  The SEC had two teams in the BCS last year – do they do that again?  Both Michigan and Alabama would each have a loss to a BCS team.  The Committee will no doubt run the numbers, strength of schedule and all the rest.

As a biased Michigan fan, SU would pick Michigan and take the position that Alabama had just lost what was essentially a “play-in” game to Georgia.  I personally have not been impressed by Clemson’s schedule this year – they had a good win over Texas A&M on the road, but the ACC has not been great this year.  They are ranked #2 but SU is not sure that they are world beaters.

The fact that the process isn’t clean is actually good for college football – makes for livelier conversation and higher interest.

What do you think?  Who would get in?  Lots of things still need to happen including Michigan beating Ohio State on the road which to SU is a tall order always but this might just play out.

SU is back in action after decompressing from Election Night coverage.  I will not forgive 538.com, Nate Silver’s web site, for having a screwed up forecasting model that showed the Democrats’ chances of winning the House going from 90% at 8 pm to 35% at 8:45 pm.  Note from SU: you have all year to make sure that is working properly.  Let’s get on that – especially after your 2016 debacle.

But that’s not why you are here today.  There are rumors in Yankeeland that Cashman is looking to trade the Generational One, Stanton, in order to free up money to sign Bryce Harper.  Let’s consider that.  You will move one overpaid player to sign another player for even more money who will be even more overpaid.  Others are saying that the Yankees will sign Harper anyway and keep Stanton.

The going rate for Harper this year will be in the $35 – 40 million a year range.  You can sign 3 solid or better players for that much money.  SU says the big free agents like Machado and Harper will not put up numbers that are that much better than the next tier players.  You are talking 5-10 home runs and 15 – 20 rbis.  Not worth it.  Machado is a Cano redux – won’t hustle and shows some signs of being a dirty player.  Harper is always scowling and is coming off a sub-par season.  The big moves so far are re-signing CC and Gardner.  OK, we are treading water.  SU does not like Stanton (have I ever told you that?) but he is no different than Machado or Harper.  If you want to trade Stanton for pitching talent, I am ok with that.  But I don’t see the point of replacing him with another overpaid dude who you don’t know will perform in New York in the spotlight.  Cashman is known for putting rumors out there to cover his actual moves so no doubt this is just noise.  Sanchez now needs shoulder surgery but should be ready for the start of the season.  SU says pulling the ball in every at bat must have taken its toll on his shoulder as no shoulder can handle that much poorly thought out swinging over a full season.

SU is upset that Trey Burke has been planted on the bench.  They seem to need a point guard but the new coach likes the bigger guards.  He will be moved by December.  Too bad.  The team is fun to watch though.  They don’t pass it around enough – too much one-on-one for SU – but they play hard, push the ball up the court and I love that they are young.

Finally, very interesting move by the Mets hiring an agent to be their new GM.  This seems to be a growing trend in baseball.  As he is the agent for Cespedes and I believe deGrom, you wonder how that comes into play.  But SU likes that the Mets have been bold.

So, what should the Yankees do?  They are managing to a payroll budget.  How do you justify a Machado or Harper, and should you trade Stanton to clear payroll to get one of these guys?

SU has always viewed Brett Gardner as a very good 4th outfielder.  He’s a good guy in the clubhouse, excellent defensively, fast (although never tries stealing enough given his speed) and has a high on-base percentage.  He will hit .260 with 10-15 home runs and 40 rbis.  Solid.  You can win with him starting if you have some boppers in the other positions which the Yankees have had the last couple of years since the end of the Chase Headley Era.

But…. if the goal is to catch up to the Astros and Red Sox, are the Yankees on the right path?  SU says it does give you insurance in case Hicks leaves as a free agent, and also depth when someone gets hurt which Hicks always does and Judge did last year.  My concern is does this hurt Clint Frazier’s chance to win a starting spot or will he be a concussion risk for the rest of his career?  The wild card is Jacoby Ellsbury who is a paper cut away from being out 4 months.  It’s a 1-year deal so that’s good and it’s for less money.  SU is a bit torn here.  I want Frazier to get a legitimate shot to win an outfield position and Gardner will hold him back.  Cashman can’t count on Ellsbury but he must have at least 2 more years left – maybe 3 on his awful contract.  Of course, if you are going to trade Stanton in the off-season and that’s why you re-signed him, SU is all in.

Bottom line: it’s not an upgrade.  The team needs starting pitching and hitters who can hit the ball other than home runs.  Feels like they are standing pat.  Is SU wrong on this?

OK, Yankee fans, as hard as it may be to do so, it’s time to give props to the Red Sox for what may be one of the best seasons of all time record-wise.  SU’s observations:

• Full disclosure: I watched very little of the playoffs after the Yankees were eliminated but I saw enough.  The Red Sox beat the Yankees, Astros and Dodgers – they did not have any gimmes and were dominant.
• David Price has gotten the playoff monkey off his back.  He was big in the World Series.  Conversely, Clayton Kershaw has once again shown that he is mediocre in the post-season – the only blemish on his remarkable career.  And it’s a significant body of work so not an aberration.
• SU says look for this in 2019: both the Red Sox and the Dodgers abused their relievers and starters.  Lots of warming up and sitting down, pitching several days in a row, pitching more innings than they are used to.  This will be an issue next season when these same pitchers have arm issues, Tommy John surgery, etc.  Something to look for next season.
• Alex Cora pushed all the right buttons.  We will see if the trend continues next season.  SU says these things even out and he is not likable.
• The Dodgers were like the Yankees.  All or nothing.  No clue how to hit in situations to get a run home, move a runner along.  The Red Sox put the ball in play and have a circular line up.
• It just makes SU more annoyed that the Yankees traded for Stanton.  So unnecessary and where is the pitching going to come from in 2019 for the Yankees?  Manny Machado?  Does he ever hustle?  Don’t sign him.  Bryce Harper?  Same thing – unless he can pitch, SU says stay away.  The problem is not home runs; the problem is starting pitching and hitters who put the ball in play.
• Brian Cashman will have a busy off-season – don’t screw it up.

The NY Giants are officially unwatchable.  I cannot watch Eli try and throw from the pocket and get sacked over and over again, or throw 5-yard passes over and over again.  Team is going nowhere – see what the youngsters can do at QB.  I am not saying it’s his fault but he cannot be productive on a team with a porous offensive line.  No point and no chance.

Finally, while the Knicks are losing, don’t lose hope – you have to play the youngsters and see what you have.  Also, Caris LeVert is a stud on the Nets (and ex-Michigan).  The guy can play and the Nets are fun to watch.

Any love for Boston this morning?

The NBA season is upon us, we are starting to understand who the NFL contenders are this year, college football is entering its critical period and of course, the World Series is about to start.  A few thoughts for the intergalactic subscriber base on this chilly Monday:

• How much fun is Patrick Mahomes?  Aside from the fact that he is on our fantasy football team, this guy is must see tv.  The contrast last night was striking with an immobile Andy Dalton on the Bengals who had limited movement vs. Mahomes who has amazing escapability skills.  If you are an NFL GM, is this the future of the position?  We have seen some of these types of QBs crash and burn in the past (see Michael Vick), but SU says this is the prototype of what the game requires going forward.  When you get down to it, he is much more of a college football style quarterback and that is good for the NFL.  It doesn’t hurt that he has great players at the skill positions in Hunt and Hill.
• Of course, tonight we will see Eli who makes Dalton look like a speedster.  The Giants are getting killed for not drafting a QB this year but SU says Barkley is a great player and I am not sure Rosen or Darnell are the real deal.  As long as the NFL has rules to protect the QBs, why not get someone who is more mobile?  It was interesting to hear last night from Al Michaels that some owners feel there isn’t enough hitting today in the NFL – too many rules to protect against major hits.  SU disagrees.  I would rather see the stars on the field playing than being on injured reserve all the time.
• SU is getting excited about the Michigan team this year.  They finally have a legit QB and a great defense.  Beating Ohio State on the road is still a tall order but it’s good for college football to once again have Michigan in the mix for a championship.  Of course, with Alabama, you are basically vying for 2nd best but who cares?
• SU has caught some of the Knicks early on and they are watchable this year.  They play a much more up tempo game and they are young.  SU is a little concerned about the lack of assists in the box scores which speaks to a lot of 1-on-1 play.  The good news is that they are pushing the ball up the court so there is that.  The Pat Riley, grind it out, grab and hold era is officially over in the NBA.  The Golden State Warriors have changed all that and it’s for the better.  Teams are scoring in the 120s and 130s on a regular basis now — much, much better.  It’s much more fun to watch and rewards teams that have shooters.  SU says check out the NBA this year.
• Red Sox vs. the Dodgers.  I must admit – don’t like either team.  SU can never root for Boston and Manny Machado is just unlikable.  But this should be a close series I think and good for MLB for ratings.  SU sees the Red Sox in 6 games and they are the best team this year.

Thoughts on the NFL?  Not enough hitting?

Finally, a public service announcement from SU.  This is for the Millennials on the subscriber list.  Election day is 2 weeks from tomorrow.  As we have learned, elections have consequences.  Get out there and vote for whomever you want, but vote.  Early and often.

SU does not understand the sudden demand that the Yankees sign Manny Machado now that Didi will be out for a half year for Tommy John surgery.  Please consider:

• This is no longer George Steinbrenner’s team where there was no budget.  Today, Hal runs it like a business and they are managing to a $200 million payroll.
• Judge and Sanchez will be free agents soon enough and Didi is a free agent after the 2019 season.  Aaron Hicks is a free agent this winter and they should look to re-sign him.
• The team just set a record for home runs in a season.  Most of the big hitters will be back again next season.
• Against the Red Sox, your starters failed to go longer than 4 innings in 3 of the 4 games.  Think about that.  And Tanaka only went 5 innings.
• Robertson is a free agent as is Britten.  Betances will be eligible after next season.

Andjuar, as a rookie, put up 25+ home runs and in the neighborhood of 90 rbis.  What is Machado going to do?  35 home runs, 110 rbis?  How much better is that for that much money?  Is it worth $40 million a year?  SU says you can get two high quality players for that salary, and both of them can be pitchers.

The team needs pitching.  They are poised to contend more seriously in 2019.  Machado is like Stanton – a luxury.  Plus he doesn’t always run out ground balls.  Do you want another Robinson Cano to watch not hustling for the next 10 years?

SU says steer clear of Machado – he is not necessary and is not the answer to their needs.  The team needs younger, high quality starting pitchers and not the $30 million a year types.  Cashman should be smart and work the trade market.  He already publicly said he is dealing Sonny Gray – surprising that he said that but obviously the best for all parties involved.  SU hopes any Machado talk is just the Yankees driving up his asking price for other teams.

Thoughts?