Full disclosure: the SU research staff has not done the usual in-depth statistical analysis on Kyle Tucker. I mean, there are only so many hours in a day. But for SU, at first blush, the 4-year, $240 million deal for Tucker with the deferred cash (OK, it’s only $57 million a year in present value terms) and the two opt outs makes SU think that he will play 1 and a half years for the Dodgers in the end.

Sure, they overpaid to get him for 2026 when they are going for the 3-peat. There will be a lockout in 2027 as the owners push for a salary cap, and SU estimates at best we have a half season of baseball. Tucker can, I believe, opt out after year #2 and you know he will as he wants the 8 – 10 year deal.

SU views Tucker as a solid player but not someone who carries the franchise like a Judge or a Soto. He doesn’t crave the limelight and will fit in nicely with the Dodgers who are loaded with global superstars. Does he put them over the top for 2026? Maybe but they may have already been over the top for this coming season with their current roster. SU says the Dodgers were smart to overpay for the shorter term contract. That is always the right strategy.

The bigger concern for SU is Bellinger and whether the Yankees have a chance to re-sign him now. The Mets were willing to give Tucker $50 million: does Steve Cohen now look to steal another star from Hal a year after he backed up the truck for Soto? He could also do a shorter term, over paid contract along the lines of Tucker. Or does Hal now have to add another year to give Bellinger a 6-year deal? And is Toronto still in the mix as they were also willing to give Tucker big dollars?

SU is worried that Cashman is putting too much faith in Jasson Dominguez, the latest in the Yankees’ line of overhyped prospects. Very good left-handed hitter who really can’t hit right handed and is somehow a terrible outfielder (I mean, how do you not teach these guys to catch the ball in the minor leagues? He has been in their system since he was 16). He is still very young and perhaps will show some good progress this year but the absence of moves this off season is worrying to Yankee fans. SU will put its faith in Cashman that he actually has a game plan now and will execute on that. But I am telling you: do not expect Trent Grisham to ever have a season like 2025 again.

Yankee fans are a spoiled group – no doubt about it. It comes from being in New York where the fans really care about wins and losses every game, and where there are high expectations to justify the ridiculous ticket and food prices. Plus this might be the last season we have baseball for a while.

We will soon see if Tucker is worth $60 million a year. The rich are getting richer in LA but Yankee fans can’t complain as there were many years where the Steinbrenner family did the exact same thing. Get over it and get to work Hal.