We’re a Month Away from Live Sports… I Think

SU has been quiet of late but we have been monitoring the slow and uneven progress of major sports readying themselves for live action with no spectators.  The latest:

  • MLB is playing a brinksmanship game with the players.  By delaying an agreement, it just continues to reduce the number of possible games for the regular season.  Assuming that teams need at least 3 weeks of spring training, we are now past July 4th for the start of a season.  At the moment, it feels like a 50 – 70 game regular season with the likelihood at the lower end of that range.  As a fan, is this satisfying?  SU says that baseball has lost some goodwill with the fan base and the sniping and arguing over player salaries will have an effect on fan interest.  Not a good look.  But SU predicts that they will make a deal at the last minute as there is some money to be made.
  • The NBA will start which is great.  All games in Orlando with no spectators.  If you have ever watched the Summer League games in Las Vegas, it will look like that in small venues.
  • Will there be a tennis US Open?  SU has been monitoring this one.  The USTA has proposed that all players will stay in hotels near LaGuardia Airport and must self-quarantine for 2 weeks when they arrive and only 1 coach can accompany a player.  Djokovic is already balking at coming and says most players will stay away and ready for the clay season in Europe in September.  I must say the prospect of staying 3 weeks at a LaGuardia Airport hotel would be enough to keep me at home!  Of course, the bigger reality is that New York City is viewed as the epicenter for COVID-19 and no one wants to come here.  Federer is now out for the rest of 2020 and Nadal is also saying he likely won’t come.  The lesser players need the money and they will come.  The USTA should be making a decision next week.
  • Golf is coming!  SU predicts that they will move to having spectators fairly quickly at least down in Texas and Florida and there is talk of even in Ohio for the Memorial Tournament.
  • MLS will have a tournament in Orlando and the NHL will  be launching in select cities that are being determined now.  NASCAR is already racing and will soon allow spectators in some venues.
  • The NFL is still on schedule to open training camps in July and a lot is riding on that.  SU still does not understand how this will work but the experts are working hard at making this happen.
  • Finally, SU is hoping that colleges and universities open and at least give it a shot this Fall.  You need the campuses to be open for games to be played.  Probably fewer spectators in the stands but it feels like the NCAA will go forward with a reduced schedule.

SU stopped reading the sports section weeks ago and would like to resume.

A few recent Netflix shows to recommend to you:

  • Halt and Catch Fire: a 4-season AMC Network series on the launch of the computer industry in the 1980s and 1990s.  Excellent.
  • Sex Education: very funny; British.
  • Fleabag: a couple of seasons; also British.  Also funny.
  • Red Oaks: takes place in a country club.  Very good.
  • Bodyguard: good action
  • The Wire: most of you probably already watched it.  Thank goodness for closed captions.  SU is only on season 1 but really enjoying it so far.

All for now.  Sorry for the delay and hope to be more active in the weeks ahead.

2 thoughts on “We’re a Month Away from Live Sports… I Think”

  1. As I’ve watched MLB work this through, I can only explain their behavior as being driven by the financials…namely that they don’t see this working out as profitably as some of the other leagues might. They will see a loss in revenue from tickets, concessions, etc. while their costs wouldn’t drop in proportion (and some costs might actually go up to prevent viral spread). Then consider how reliant they are on minor leagues to fill in for injured or under-performing players. And I imagine ad revenue on YES, etc. will be way down with limited advertising from travel, dining, auto, etc. If there was a way to make this profitable, MLB would be scrambling like every other business trying to make things worth. I think they’re nervous and keeping the payrolls down for as long as possible might be their best move.

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