Baseball is hard to explain. In the Yankees – Red Sox series, scoring any runs was at a premium, and all of the games were close and low scoring. In this series with Toronto? Runs all over the place. The Yankees showed some spine last night after falling behind 6-1 in the 3rd inning, and full disclosure, SU thought they were done for the year. They had shown little in the first two plus games but last night, the offense roared to life including hits with runners in scoring position (RISP for Yankee fans who believe me, are generally not famiiar with that stat nor are their hitters).
So, what happened last night and what can we expect tonight and perhaps Friday if needed?
- Aaron Judge said enough is enough. He basically said let me show you what I can, in fact, do in the post-season. His 3-run home run off the foul pole was epic on an inside 100-mph fastball. He’s hitting about .500 for the post-season and SU says Toronto is going to walk him intentionally early and often starting tonight. They did that in the regular season and now seems like an appropriate time to go back to that strategy.
- Aaron Boone pushed the right buttons with the relievers. It is hard to believe that the Yankee relievers actually shut out the Blue Jays for almost 6+ innings in this game. And he did it without having to use Luke Weaver who SU says is going to be the wild card tonight. The odds of every reliever being good every game is very, very small and based on their season long performance, hard to see that continuing.
- Yankee hitters are now very familiar with the Toronto relievers. John Smoltz was correct on this (full disclousre: SU muted the announcing periodically throughout the game as does anyone want to keep hearing Smoltz predict the next pitch? And he is less than 50% accurate so why bother? Admit it: if you were sitting next to him during a game, you would have to go and get a beer several times during the game and hope for long lines at the beer stand). Anyway, the Yankee hitters have now seen them all and while they were unhittable at times in games 1 and 2, not so much last night. And tonight is going to be a bullpen game for the Blue Jays.
- Cam Schlittler needs to be good tonight. Not 8 innings and 12 strikeouts good but at least good through 6 innings. The Blue Jay hitters will put the ball in play and will foul off pitches. This will be a tougher opponent than the Red Sox.
- Tonight will come down to the late inning relievers. SU sees a close game and we will see if the Yankee relievers can be perfect again. And I do think Luke Weaver is going to show up – and it may be in extra innings. And yes, terrifying.
If this goes to game 5, advantage Toronto with Yesavage (and Gausman) waiting in the wings and the Blue Jays play much better at home on the turf. There is also the possibilty that Toronto starts Gasuman on 3 days rest tonight as you still have Yesavage for game 5 as insurance. For SU, at this point, I will take a game 5 and feel like they showed up and did not roll over. SU does predict Anthony Volpe is benched for tonight – he is just striking out in every at bat and is lost. Let him be a bench player tonight. Boone must keep Rice in the starting lineup – he had a huge sac fly late against a left-handed reliever. Stanton is showing signs but until he hits to right field with power, we will not see the October version.
It will be cold and windy tonight in the Bronx. More of that football game feel from the fans. Advantage Yankees.